Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.166587 0.187842 0.210210 0.235447 0.263075 0.292347 0.325648
2025-04-13 0.137271 0.165771 0.197379 0.234849 0.277862 0.325497 0.382037
2025-04-20 0.118324 0.151632 0.190272 0.238012 0.294984 0.360363 0.440602
2025-04-27 0.105558 0.142613 0.187334 0.244594 0.315216 0.398700 0.504010
2025-05-04 0.092973 0.132056 0.181006 0.245775 0.328083 0.427995 0.557126
2025-05-11 0.084582 0.125705 0.178948 0.251473 0.346065 0.463537 0.618524
2025-05-18 0.077812 0.120631 0.177799 0.257757 0.364512 0.499806 0.681580
2025-05-25 0.069288 0.112174 0.171247 0.256092 0.372033 0.521923 0.726902
2025-06-01 0.062421 0.105321 0.166184 0.255792 0.380892 0.545593 0.774462
2025-06-08 0.056268 0.098864 0.161056 0.254822 0.388416 0.567338 0.819714
2025-06-15 0.052654 0.095895 0.160637 0.260285 0.404764 0.601109 0.881592
2025-06-22 0.048013 0.090833 0.156666 0.260196 0.413033 0.623863 0.928944
2025-06-29 0.043565 0.085765 0.152456 0.259674 0.420885 0.646643 0.977569
2025-07-06 0.039506 0.080939 0.148228 0.258776 0.427982 0.668408 1.025223
2025-07-13 0.036734 0.078051 0.146838 0.262060 0.441240 0.699126 1.086033
2025-07-20 0.034944 0.076734 0.147868 0.269097 0.460268 0.738521 1.159953
2025-07-27 0.032251 0.073478 0.145405 0.270332 0.470363 0.765082 1.216036
2025-08-03 0.030637 0.072094 0.145992 0.276463 0.488114 0.803209 1.289529
2025-08-10 0.029249 0.071006 0.146986 0.283233 0.506993 0.843371 1.366754
2025-08-17 0.026671 0.067272 0.143022 0.281429 0.512117 0.862955 1.414096
2025-08-24 0.024540 0.064224 0.140057 0.281103 0.519472 0.885945 1.466804
2025-08-31 0.022502 0.061148 0.136806 0.280054 0.525504 0.906927 1.516807
2025-09-07 0.021502 0.060227 0.137522 0.285948 0.543048 0.945944 1.594582